Neither Menshov nor Voronov are half as good as Plushenko, who lost nationals to Kovtun.
And then Kovtun lost to Voronov and Menshov at Europeans, so where would you rather lose? At the nationals, or at the Europeans? The Europeans has shown us that Voronov, Kovtun and Menshov are pretty much the same. One day one of them can win, the following day it would be another one. As I see it, it will be the one who will become most consistent that will be winning. My bet is actually on Voronov because Tutberidze produces consistent skaters. Kovtun is playing with adding as many quads as possible, but what's the point if you can't land them consistently? You may be great or you may end up somewhere pretty low if you don't land them.