Here is the place to discuss medal contenders and favourites at Jr. Worlds. Since we have a thread discussing the seniors (in the Edge), it's only fair to give the juniors their due.
For men, I mostly agree with adelia's post here. Shoma Uno is the heavy favourite for gold. Considering his BV, PCS, and GOE, the only one who can challenge a non-meltdown Shoma would be Boyang with three quads and jacked-up PCS. Adian Pitkeev looks on track to defend his silver medal. His senior debut has been solid but not stellar; however, he should be able to see off most challengers here. Boyang Jin also has a good chance to podium. If he goes completely clean, he could be higher than bronze, but he hasn't really pulled off his technical content yet.
Alexander Petrov, Sota Yamamoto, Nathan Chen are other notable challengers. All could step up if someone (likely Boyang...) bombs. Sasha and Sota have limited tech content compared to the top guys, so they'll need mistakes (or they'll need to add the quad themselves). Nathan Chen struggles with the axel and his form has been questionable lately, but he has a quad and could be competitive.
For ladies, Evgenia Medvedeva has solidified herself as the frontrunner, between JGPF and Nationals (junior and senior). Serafima Sakhanovich is probably still a tentative silver favourite, though she has struggled this year rather than dominating the junior circuit as some predicted. Other contenders include Wakaba Higuchi (bronze medallist at JGPF and Nationals) and Maria Sotskova (who narrowly beat Serafima at Junior Nationals). A mention to Karen Chen as well, who had a breakout performance at US Nationals.
There are probably people I missed, as I don't follow juniors extremely closely. Case in point: I have only a vague idea of what's happening in ice dance and pairs, so I'll leave those speculations up to other people.
Who do you expect to podium, and what would they have to do to get there? Discuss!
For men, I mostly agree with adelia's post here. Shoma Uno is the heavy favourite for gold. Considering his BV, PCS, and GOE, the only one who can challenge a non-meltdown Shoma would be Boyang with three quads and jacked-up PCS. Adian Pitkeev looks on track to defend his silver medal. His senior debut has been solid but not stellar; however, he should be able to see off most challengers here. Boyang Jin also has a good chance to podium. If he goes completely clean, he could be higher than bronze, but he hasn't really pulled off his technical content yet.
Alexander Petrov, Sota Yamamoto, Nathan Chen are other notable challengers. All could step up if someone (likely Boyang...) bombs. Sasha and Sota have limited tech content compared to the top guys, so they'll need mistakes (or they'll need to add the quad themselves). Nathan Chen struggles with the axel and his form has been questionable lately, but he has a quad and could be competitive.
For ladies, Evgenia Medvedeva has solidified herself as the frontrunner, between JGPF and Nationals (junior and senior). Serafima Sakhanovich is probably still a tentative silver favourite, though she has struggled this year rather than dominating the junior circuit as some predicted. Other contenders include Wakaba Higuchi (bronze medallist at JGPF and Nationals) and Maria Sotskova (who narrowly beat Serafima at Junior Nationals). A mention to Karen Chen as well, who had a breakout performance at US Nationals.
There are probably people I missed, as I don't follow juniors extremely closely. Case in point: I have only a vague idea of what's happening in ice dance and pairs, so I'll leave those speculations up to other people.
Who do you expect to podium, and what would they have to do to get there? Discuss!
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