Ladies Prospects After Two Events | Golden Skate

Ladies Prospects After Two Events

MissIzzy

Final Flight
Joined
Dec 26, 2006
So far we've had twenty-three ladies compete in the the first two Grand Prix events, and we've lost a GPF contender or two, although things have been *slightly* less unpredictable than they've been in the men. Gauging the top four from the first two events:

Skate America:

1. Evgenia Medvedeva: Need only medal in Russia, where her biggest competition should be her two fellow home skaters, Adelinda Sotnikova & Elena Radionova. When aside from them the biggest threat is Rika Hongo or *possibly* Yuka Nagai, her chances are looking pretty good; it would take a huge letdown for her to not top four.

2. Gracie Gold: Needs to win France to seal it, which she just must do. True, she'd need help from both Elizaveta Tuktamisheva and Julia Lipnitskaia, but the latter especially has shown herself perfectly capable of providing it, meaning she's got a serious shot of at least silver and then her chances being very good. And even if they don't, or she has some issues herself, her biggest competition for bronze and a chance, Kanako Murakami, has also been struggling a lot, although if she does badly enough she might also slip behind Gabrielle Daleman. But really, in all probably, she'll get on that podium and possibly higher if she skates decently. Whether she will or not, of course, is another question all together, but then again, she's gotten GP medals with less than perfect skates before.

3. Satoko Miyahara: Needs to win Japan to seal it, which might not happen unless Mao Asada lets it. For silver and a chance, she'd also have to beat Ashley Wagner and Anna Pogorilaya, who might or might not help her, although she can certainly do it.

4. Elizabet Tursynbaeva: Both events completed, with 7th in Canada is out.

Skate Canada:

1. Ashley Wagner: Need only medal in Japan, where she might not beat Asada either without help, but if she skates like she did this weekend, her chances seem pretty good of at least holding off Pogorilaya for a medal, maybe even beating Miyahara. Although if she doesn't, she might have to hold on to fourth against Zijun Li, or even Alena Leonova or Mirai Nagasu if they have one of their better weeks. She skates well, she's in.

2. Elizaveta Tuktamisheva: To make it certain, needs to win in France, where she'll be the favorite. If she has any trouble, though, she'll have to worry about Gracie Gold if the latter skates well, or Julia Lipnitskaia if she manages to do better at her second event. But given the inconsistencies of both of them, it seems unlikely she'll even get less than silver and a very good chance, and the rest of the field seems even less likely to knock her off the podium and out of contention.

3. Yuka Nagai: To seal it needs to win Russia, where there are three Russian women it'll be pretty hard for her to beat, so even silver and a chance would require a lot of luck, especially when they're not even all she has to worry about.

4. Kanako Murakami: To have a chance would have to win France, where between her own skate, Tuktamisheva, Gold, and even Lipnitskaia the odds are higher against her even getting silver.

Out of contention, but may be factors at other events:

Adelina Sotnikova: Competing only at the Rostelecom Cup, but could have a huge impact there
Julia Lipnitskaia: Sixth at Skate America, but capable of being a factor in France if she skates better.
Mirai Nagasu: Competing only at the NHK Trophy; the field there is such that she just might make a difference if things go crazy enough

Contenders yet to skate:

Mao Asada
Elena Radionova
Anna Pogorilaya
 

graciegoldfan17

On the Ice
Joined
Nov 18, 2015
Tuk will not qualify the finals that for sure :laugh2::handw::clap:! Gold will qualify absolutely because of the results of TEB if the short will be the basis for points in GPF hahaha yes! :bow::hap10:
 

amc987

On the Ice
Joined
Feb 12, 2012
So, who qualifies for the GPF?

I've got Medvedeva, Radionova, Gold, Asada, Miyahara, Wagner, and... does Tukt qualify or no?
 

Olympic

On the Ice
Joined
Nov 1, 2006
Confused. Why for example will there be 7 pairs (Seguin / Bilodeau are in due to participation at TEB) but only 6 ladies? Tuk was a participant at TEB and was on the bubble, wasn't she?
 

ice coverage

avatar credit: @miyan5605
Record Breaker
Joined
Feb 27, 2012
Confused. Why for example will there be 7 pairs (Seguin / Bilodeau are in due to participation at TEB) but only 6 ladies? Tuk was a participant at TEB and was on the bubble, wasn't she?

Because Tukt is 8th in the post-NHK rankings.
http://www.isuresults.com/events/gp2015/gpsladies.pdf

Hongo is 7th in the post-NHK rankings. Ahead of Tukt b/c of the second tie-breaker.
(Hongo was not at TEB, and does not qualify for the final.)

S/B are 7th in the post-NHK rankings.
 
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Olympic

On the Ice
Joined
Nov 1, 2006
Because Tukt is 8th in the post-NHK rankings.
http://www.isuresults.com/events/gp2015/gpsladies.pdf

Hongo is 7th in the post-NHK rankings. Ahead of Tukt b/c of the second tie-breaker.
(Hongo was not at TEB, and does not qualify for the final.)

S/B are 7th in the post-NHK rankings.

Thank you. It sounds like it is not just a matter of being the next highest scorer from TEB, a skater or team had to be 7th overall AND a TEB participant (?)
 

ice coverage

avatar credit: @miyan5605
Record Breaker
Joined
Feb 27, 2012
Thank you. It sounds like it is not just a matter of being the next highest scorer from TEB, a skater or team had to be 7th overall AND a TEB participant (?)

Yes, the ISU ruling was very clear:

... As usual, ... places 7 to 9 are the Substitute Skaters/Couples for the ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating Final ...

... any first Substitute Skater/Couple (placed 7th in the above-mentioned 2015/16 Grand Prix ranking) will be invited to join the qualified Skaters/Couples, provided that this/these Competitor(s) has/have skated the Short Program/Short Dance at the event in Bordeaux. ...


http://static.isu.org/media/1012/1980-isu-gp-fra-2015-partial-cancelation-info-to-members-public.pdf
 
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randomfan

Record Breaker
Joined
Aug 31, 2014
Who's skyfly?

Before the 2014-2015 season, there was this user on goldenskate who was crazy over Gracie Gold. :laugh:
For his 2014 Worlds predictions, he put something like this:
1. Gracie Gold
2. Mao Asada
And he'd keep praising Gracie even when she had a disaster (ex:saying she was extremely underscored), said that she deserved to beat Yuna Kim in Sochi, etc. Eventually he got banned, but idk if it has anything to do with all his comments.
 
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Layback11

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 18, 2014
Before the 2014-2015 season, there was this user on goldenskate who was crazy over Gracie Gold. :laugh:
For his 2014 Worlds predictions, he put something like this:
1. Gracie Gold
2. Mao Asada
And he'd keep praising Gracie even when she had a disaster (ex:saying she was extremely underscored), said that she deserved to beat Yuna Kim in Sochi, etc. Eventually he got banned, but idk if it has anything to do with all his comments.

Oh my. He sounds...lovely. :shrug:
 

RemyRose

YOLO
Record Breaker
Joined
Dec 28, 2005
Country
United-States
Oh my. He sounds...lovely. :shrug:

You have no idea. She threw venom at Tukt, Medvedeva, Sakhanovich and loved JLip, Gracie, Sinitsina/Katsalapov. Trust me when I say, she had a complete and utter meltdown last year. Too bad we miss the chance to see it :devil:
 

Snow63

Pray one day we'll open our eyes.
Record Breaker
Joined
Mar 26, 2014
Before the 2014-2015 season, there was this user on goldenskate who was crazy over Gracie Gold. :laugh:
For his 2014 Worlds predictions, he put something like this:
1. Gracie Gold
2. Mao Asada
And he'd keep praising Gracie even when she had a disaster (ex:saying she was extremely underscored), said that she deserved to beat Yuna Kim in Sochi, etc. Eventually he got banned, but idk if it has anything to do with all his comments.

He also claimed more than once that Gracie should win because of her beautiful blonde look :laugh: I loved his posts, they were hilarious :drama:
 

Li'Kitsu

Record Breaker
Joined
Dec 29, 2011
He also claimed more than once that Gracie should win because of her beautiful blonde look :laugh: I loved his posts, they were hilarious :drama:

I really didn't like all of that "Tuk is fat and needs to retire" BS though :noshake:

The uber-ism was fun and good for a laugh (although sometimes it made me feel bad for Gracie!), but that venom thrown at some of the others... :hpull:
 

RemyRose

YOLO
Record Breaker
Joined
Dec 28, 2005
Country
United-States
He also claimed more than once that Gracie should win because of her beautiful blonde look :laugh: I loved his posts, they were hilarious :drama:

Same with Sinitsina/Katsalapov being better than I/Z because of their blond hair blue eyes.
 
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