2016 JGP Ljubljana Cup Ladies SP
- Thread starter dorispulaski
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All the GP assignments are based on some design and strategies. None of the GP assignment is based on chance and coincidence. What makes this combination appear more intentional is that putting two skaters who have the same placements in the first JGP means one skater doing well will reduce the chances of the other skater qualifying for the final, yet JSF put three pairs of the same placements (two silver medalists, two bronze medalists and two 4th place finishers) in 3 different events. Once is not so suspicious, but JSF does it 3 times.
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My main point there is that calculating probabilities the way you did does nothing to prove it was intentional.
I agree though that this strategy seems weird as it doesnt maximize the number of japanese skaters that will have solid chances for final.
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Full black bodysuit...I love it! Who is this lady?
My calculation wasn't to prove that combination is intentional, but to show the statistical likelihood of that combination appear by coincidence/randomness is close to 0 because someone said the probability of that combination appear by coincidence is close to 0 is only my assumption. I don't believe any of the GP assignments is due to coincidence. All of them are intentional.
I don't think that strategy is to maximize the number of Japanese skaters that will have solid chances for final, but to give the Japanese skaters who have the same placements in the previous JGP the same chance to qualify for the final.
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Sqirtle
Are you playing Pokemon?!
Or is somebody skating to the Pokemon music?! (That would actually be cool!)
CaroLiza_fan
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They always look great on the ice, don't they? :yes:
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Ah! I never knew that. Thank you.
Although, I'm not sure I would want to be compared to a Pokemon!
CaroLiza_fan
), my favourite so far is cutie pie Alana Toktarova :luv17:
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It wasn't.
It must be Leona ROGIC in the black jumpsuit, then.
By the way, Zhansaya ADYKHANOVA looks so cute in her glasses.
CaroLiza_fan
The statistical likelyhood of any combination is low. It does not show that that specific combination is not random. What you did was to toss a 1000 sided die, and when it landed on 1000, you said "its very unlikely to land at 1000, so it must be because it is intentional and not a coincedence".
(just speaking about the statistical part, i agree with the conclusion, just not the way you got to it.
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