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This was actually quite a difficult event to make predictions on. Because I didn’t get the chance to watch much of the Junior GP Series this season. And there were so many familiar names that I knew were good last season.
FORTY FIVE MEN???!!!
That is far too many to look up on both ISU Results and Stats On Ice!
Against my better wisdom, I did look up ALL of them on Stats On Ice (well, you never know who might have high scores from competitions that are not in their ISU Bios. Look at Zagitova at the start of this season).
However, after putting them in order of their highest PB’s on Stats On Ice, I noticed that nearly all the scores for the top guys were from last season or before. And when I scrolled down, I found the tables hadn’t been updated since last season.
So, I went over to Rink Results and repeated the process.
I was really impressed that as many as 16 of the entrants have absolute PB’s of over 200 points.
Before doing that whole process, I had been thinking of putting Dmitri Aliev at the top. But, after seeing the absolute PB’s, there are realistically only going to be 2 guys gunning for the gold medal – Vincent Zhou and Alexander Samarin.
Both of those guys scored their absolute PB’s at Nationals this season, with Zhou 3 points ahead. But, I am going to go for Samarin as he has generally been scoring better during the whole season. (Although, that said, Vincent’s second highest score, which was from last month’s Bavarian Open, was a good 10 points higher than Sasha’s second highest score, which was from December’s GP Final).
Alexander Petrov should be a safe bronze medallist. But, Aliev, Cha, Samohin and Aymoz should have a good fight over the next four places. Since I was planning on having Aliev win, I kept him as the highest.
Cha’s absolute PB was only one point behind Aliev’s absolute PB. But, I had always intended putting Samohin in my Top 5. So, although he was 3 points further back, I promoted him ahead of Cha, who became my alternate. I then kept Aymoz in 7th.
The next 5 guys (Torgashev, Nadeau, Krasnozhon, Paniot and Sadovsky) were too close to separate, with only 4 points covering them. So, rather than try to justify changing them around, I kept them in absolute PB order. For the next 2 guys, Rizzo was only 0.2 ahead of Tomono. And I kept them in that order for the simple reason that I am more familiar with Rizzo through watching the Italian Championships every year.
For Pairs and Dance, I was not able to do my usual looking up the absolute PB’s because Stats On Ice took down the Pairs and Dance team profiles last week, and only have the individual profiles left up. And Rink Results have never done Pairs or Dance team profiles.
So, I ended up working from ISU PB’s. Which was not ideal, bearing in mind that there are partnerships that have never competed in competitions that count towards ISU Bios before.
In Pairs, there were not many groups of partnerships. There were gaps between most of the couples, particularly in the Top 6. In fact, the only change to the ISU PB order that I made was for 3rd and 4th. Rather than putting 6 Russians on the podium, I put 5 Russians and a Native Australian on the podium!
I have been so impressed with Alexandrovskaya / Windsor this season, and I have a feeling they will get on the podium and prevent the domination of Team Russia. A shock win like Dušková / Bidař did last season might be asking a bit much of them. But, I do think a podium is achievable.
Since I had to sort the Men out twice, I didn’t have time to do the Dance today as I intended. But, I’ll do them (and hopefully the Ladies too) tomorrow.
Caroliza_fan
JUNIOR WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS
Men
1. Vincent ZHOU, USA
2. Alexander SAMARIN, RUS
3. Alexander PETROV, RUS
4. Dmitri ALIEV, RUS
5. Daniel SAMOHIN, ISR
Just for fun
6. Jun Hwan CHA, KOR
7. Kevin AYMOZ, FRA
8. Andrew TORGASHEV, USA
9. Nicolas NADEAU, CAN
10. Alexei KRASNOZHON, USA
Pairs
1. Alina USTIMKINA / Nikita VOLODIN, RUS
2. Amina ATAKHANOVA / Ilia SPIRIDONOV, RUS
3. Aleksandra BOIKOVA / Dmitrii KOZLOVSKII, RUS
4. Ekaterina ALEXANDROVSKAYA / Harley WINDSOR, AUS
5. Chelsea LIU / Brian JOHNSON, USA
Just for fun
6. Evelyn WALSH / Trennt MICHAUD, CAN
7. Lori-Ann MATTE / Thierry FERLAND, CAN
8. Su Yeon KIM / Hyungtae KIM, KOR
9. Yumeng GAO / Zhong XIE, CHN
10. Nica DIGERNESS / Danny NEUDECKER, USA
FORTY FIVE MEN???!!!
That is far too many to look up on both ISU Results and Stats On Ice!
Against my better wisdom, I did look up ALL of them on Stats On Ice (well, you never know who might have high scores from competitions that are not in their ISU Bios. Look at Zagitova at the start of this season).
However, after putting them in order of their highest PB’s on Stats On Ice, I noticed that nearly all the scores for the top guys were from last season or before. And when I scrolled down, I found the tables hadn’t been updated since last season.
So, I went over to Rink Results and repeated the process.
I was really impressed that as many as 16 of the entrants have absolute PB’s of over 200 points.
Before doing that whole process, I had been thinking of putting Dmitri Aliev at the top. But, after seeing the absolute PB’s, there are realistically only going to be 2 guys gunning for the gold medal – Vincent Zhou and Alexander Samarin.
Both of those guys scored their absolute PB’s at Nationals this season, with Zhou 3 points ahead. But, I am going to go for Samarin as he has generally been scoring better during the whole season. (Although, that said, Vincent’s second highest score, which was from last month’s Bavarian Open, was a good 10 points higher than Sasha’s second highest score, which was from December’s GP Final).
Alexander Petrov should be a safe bronze medallist. But, Aliev, Cha, Samohin and Aymoz should have a good fight over the next four places. Since I was planning on having Aliev win, I kept him as the highest.
Cha’s absolute PB was only one point behind Aliev’s absolute PB. But, I had always intended putting Samohin in my Top 5. So, although he was 3 points further back, I promoted him ahead of Cha, who became my alternate. I then kept Aymoz in 7th.
The next 5 guys (Torgashev, Nadeau, Krasnozhon, Paniot and Sadovsky) were too close to separate, with only 4 points covering them. So, rather than try to justify changing them around, I kept them in absolute PB order. For the next 2 guys, Rizzo was only 0.2 ahead of Tomono. And I kept them in that order for the simple reason that I am more familiar with Rizzo through watching the Italian Championships every year.
For Pairs and Dance, I was not able to do my usual looking up the absolute PB’s because Stats On Ice took down the Pairs and Dance team profiles last week, and only have the individual profiles left up. And Rink Results have never done Pairs or Dance team profiles.
So, I ended up working from ISU PB’s. Which was not ideal, bearing in mind that there are partnerships that have never competed in competitions that count towards ISU Bios before.
In Pairs, there were not many groups of partnerships. There were gaps between most of the couples, particularly in the Top 6. In fact, the only change to the ISU PB order that I made was for 3rd and 4th. Rather than putting 6 Russians on the podium, I put 5 Russians and a Native Australian on the podium!
I have been so impressed with Alexandrovskaya / Windsor this season, and I have a feeling they will get on the podium and prevent the domination of Team Russia. A shock win like Dušková / Bidař did last season might be asking a bit much of them. But, I do think a podium is achievable.
Since I had to sort the Men out twice, I didn’t have time to do the Dance today as I intended. But, I’ll do them (and hopefully the Ladies too) tomorrow.
Caroliza_fan
JUNIOR WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS
Men
1. Vincent ZHOU, USA
2. Alexander SAMARIN, RUS
3. Alexander PETROV, RUS
4. Dmitri ALIEV, RUS
5. Daniel SAMOHIN, ISR
Just for fun
6. Jun Hwan CHA, KOR
7. Kevin AYMOZ, FRA
8. Andrew TORGASHEV, USA
9. Nicolas NADEAU, CAN
10. Alexei KRASNOZHON, USA
Pairs
1. Alina USTIMKINA / Nikita VOLODIN, RUS
2. Amina ATAKHANOVA / Ilia SPIRIDONOV, RUS
3. Aleksandra BOIKOVA / Dmitrii KOZLOVSKII, RUS
4. Ekaterina ALEXANDROVSKAYA / Harley WINDSOR, AUS
5. Chelsea LIU / Brian JOHNSON, USA
Just for fun
6. Evelyn WALSH / Trennt MICHAUD, CAN
7. Lori-Ann MATTE / Thierry FERLAND, CAN
8. Su Yeon KIM / Hyungtae KIM, KOR
9. Yumeng GAO / Zhong XIE, CHN
10. Nica DIGERNESS / Danny NEUDECKER, USA
:agree:
