I don't see how they can be beaten, even with problems with jumps. The whole situation with them is tricky. They decided to not jump (both of them!) in test skates but does it mean that they don't jump at all? Don't think so. Hope they return to the game quickly and all the mess with JGP turns to be just a try to give other Russian pairs a chance on the international stage.
How they can be beaten? Seriously? Pretty easily. The difference between 3-1-3 and 1-1-1 is huge. For example, the value for a triple-euler-triple is around six points without GOE. The value of 1-1-1- is roughly 1.50. Then you have the second jump element, where the value difference between a single and triple will be again some 3-4 points. So if K/I were Panfilova/Rylov, they might get away with skating without triples, if the rest of their program is completely clean and have level 4 on everything, and if their jumps are at least doubles and not singles. But if they stick to their singles the same way as they did at the test skates, they will be beaten definitely by Sobinina/Volodin with his new partner, because at the competition a week or two ago they scored around 170. They would also be at risk of being beaten by Mukhortova/Evgeniev, who have scored 170 in the past, and by Buzaeva/Rakhmanin, who have never competed together but in their previous partnerships they both also reached scores over 170. While I am a huge fan of Kostiukovich/Ialin, I don’t think the judges will be able to hold them up if they skate the way they skated at the test skates. The field is too competitive for them to be able to afford that. The loss of points on jumps would be too huge to make it up on other elements and on PCS. And if even completely unknown Russian junior pairs can turn up at the JGP and score 178 as Artemeva/Nazarychev did last week, the federation suddenly doesn’t have any motivation to hold anyone up. Having too many decent pairs mean that anyone is replaceable. If a pair doesn’t deliver, they will be replaced. The same way as they have been doing in ladies in the past few years.