I agree with the assessment.I think if both are relatively clean Kolyada will definitely win. But I think Keegan has a great shot of getting on the podium!
It's interesting to speculate how the SP dynamic will play out, and what tactics Keegan and his coach will use in the final layout for the FS.
I don't see Mikhail Kolyada beating Keegan's solid 95ish SP. So, I expect that Yuzuru will be first after the SP, Keegan second and Mikhail third going into the FS.
At Skate Canada, the FS layout was much lower in BV than at SCI... no 4Lz etc.
Do they plan other quads..?
If the rest of the pack is super far back after the FS, will they have the marge de manoeuvre to risk the 4Lz to place ahead of Kolyada?