- Joined
- Feb 19, 2015
there would be a lot of happy pplNow THAT would make me happy!
sadly I'm still pessimistic
there would be a lot of happy pplNow THAT would make me happy!
To me it also looks like Russian Fed might be in trouble at the last event and that is because of their substitute choices or better yet lack of it. If we assume that Proklova will likely not skate there as it seems to me then the only viable substitute is Pervushkina. All the other skaters Russia has named in that event have already skated their 2nd event at that time and it looks to me that if for some reasons Sima or Pervushkina can't skate there then Russian Fed has no one to send there as a substitute.
About a month ago I saw this could happen and now it has happen. Sima will not skate at Croatia and Russia will have only one entry. Totally retardedly played by the Russian Fed and this could very well cost Alisa's JGPF spot.
http://www.isuresults.com/events/cat00028472.htm
It makes no difference. Sakhanovich is in very bad state.
It definitely could make a big difference in the spots for final. Serafima's total points even with that terrible Lp was still on the same level as Marin silver. Considering that she would not be nervous to fight for a spot in the final she probably would deliver a performance with less mistakes. I don't understand why Russian fed. is so harsh on Sima.It makes no difference. Sakhanovich is in very bad state.
Btw, Higuchi (as show Tokyo Regionals) is not in very good or very bad state. Did not fully restore I believe.
Probably order of places which will earn Pervushkina, Honda, Higuchi is unpredictable.
It definitely could make a big difference in the spots for final. Serafima's total points even with that terrible Lp was still on the same level as Marin silver. Considering that she would not be nervous to fight for a spot in the final she probably would deliver a performance with less mistakes. I don't understand why Russian fed. is so harsh on Sima.
I compared their total scores, not their actual performances, to make the point of why I don't understand Russian fed. decision to take her out of Croatia. Score wise she has almost the same chances as Marin to be on a podium. Unless it was her decision, which I highly doubt.Serafima got high PCS scores for her 3-fall FS which also got a time violation. A 6.18 PE score with 3 falls? That is reputation scoring, of course.
Honda lost TES for two downgraded 3Fs, but that did not affect her performance, yet she had lower PCS scores than Serafima. Honda's was the first of her career, so she had no ISU reputation going in. So it really is not fair to compare Honda's score to Serafima's when their actual performances were not at all comparable.
Sima is not in good physical condition. She could injure herself if she falls a few more times like in Logrono. The first fall in her LP was especially hard.I compared their total scores, not their actual performances, to make the point of why I don't understand Russian fed. decision to take her out of Croatia. Score wise she has almost the same chances as Marin to be on a podium. Unless it was her decision, which I highly doubt.
You HAVE to consider actual performance. Honda had a clean SP in SLC and a good FS with two DG jumps; she may be capable of two clean performances in Croatia. Who can say the same of Serafima after her disaster in Spain? Heck, Serafima lost to two US newbies in Spain!!
Calm down. Serafima had the best/biggest reputation among the current junior ladies, and that gives her higher PCS. Which means even if her performance would be not as good as Marin's she still could get bigger total score and, therefore, she could beat Marin. That often happens in figure skating - someone more experienced, older and with excellent reputation skates badly and scores higher than a rather unknown skater with a clean skate, simply by PCS. We are talking about placements here, not actual performances, because that's what matter in order to qualify to JGP final. The specific performances are discussed in other threads. Marin's total score with a decent skate is only a few points higher than Serafima's total with a terrible LP performance. Therefore, I considered it very possible that Serafima beats Marin in Croatia. But now it all does not matter.
I'll cross my fingers tho I want Diana & Alisa in the final3. Marin/Diana/Wakaba = Marin and Alisa go to final (I very much doubt Diana can score higher than Alisa)
4. Marin/Wakaba/Diana = Marin and Alisa go to final
Vincent will make it. After seeing the start order for the men's short I am pretty sure Hiwatasi will win here with Samarin 2nd, Zhang 3rd and Nadeau 4th. This will assure Vincent the 6th spot for the final.So we have one spot for mens, two for ladies, and 2 for ice dance left to be 100% confirmed based on calculations. Vincent could potentially not make it if He Zhang wins, which mans that he'll go above Daniel but he'll still make it. Ice dance...well yeah.
Vincent will make it. After seeing the start order for the men's short I am pretty sure Hiwatasi will win here with Samarin 2nd, Zhang 3rd and Nadeau 4th. This will assure Vincent the 6th spot for the final.
Vincent will make it. After seeing the start order for the men's short I am pretty sure Hiwatasi will win here with Samarin 2nd, Zhang 3rd and Nadeau 4th. This will assure Vincent the 6th spot for the final.