- Joined
- Mar 23, 2014
I would partially agree with you about this. But for a young, up and coming skater, or a skater wanting to get back in the game after poor showings, they have much more incentive to change their programs. They have a need to improve their PCS and to do that, they need new programs. Boyang and Nathan might get a 9-11 PCS point boost from new programs that the judges like, Patrick might find that a different program has a rhythm that he can add quads to more easily, and also have his PCS recover from their recent slump.
Yuzu's boost might be 2-3 points extra in PCS max, and that's only if the judges like it. If they don't his PCS would stay the same, or even drop again. --There is much less incentive and much more danger for him trying a new program at this point. However, this is not to denigrate those who choose a to skate new programs. I'm delighted and looking forward to Boyang, Nathan, Patrick and Javi's new programs. I also really like what I've seen of Jason's programs so far. But as a logical decision, Yuzu's plan seems solid.
This DOESN'T mean I think his gold is assured or anything. Yuzu can melt down with SEIMEI and Chopin if he gives into pressure. But his odds are better with these programs, that he'll be able to skate the well at the Olympics.
On a different note, I remember at the Sochi Men's event, many spectators were dissatisfied that the Long Program was such a splatfest. There were almost no clean performances.
What if, all this recycling caused a cleaner Olympic competition? Would that be better than all-new programs and a splatfest? Or a clean competition with fewer quads? What do we prefer? -just a thought experiment we could try.
Personally, for an Olympic event, recycling your best program, and having a clean-ish event would be fine with me.
I dislike the idea that skaters who receive consistently high PCS should be motivated to stop challenging themselves and taking risks artistically, although I understand it from a competitive point of view.
Again, I am only trying to make the point that, in this instance, Hanyu is indeed taking the easy way out. Fans might be disappointed by it (as I am) or impressed by his competitive determination. Attempts to justify the decision to repeat programs by focusing on how the programs will not be identical to previous ones or to argue that his is giving himself an even greater challenge by repeating programs does a disservice to the men who are learning one or two new programs from scratch. It's fine to give him credit for his competitive strategy, but we've also got to admit that the reason why it WORKS as a competitive strategy is because re-using programs is less challenging.
As for Olympic meltdowns - in the ladies division, most of the top competitors had "new" programs, and they didn't have any meltdowns. In addition, I'm skeptical of the idea that having "new" programs is to blame for meltdowns. For one thing, no one's program is new by the Olympics - they've been training it for months, and it's been in competition - sometimes skated perfectly - several times. It's all about the brain. Sure, it's plausible that having a recycled program will make you feel more confident - but that's not a security blanket someone as brilliant as Hanyu should need.