- Joined
- Nov 19, 2010
After three GP events, the possible entries can be narrowed down to:
Men:
1. Chan 15 +TEB
2. Abbott 15 +COR
3. Brezina 15 +TEB+COR
4. Fernandez 13 +COR
5. Oda 13 +TEB
6. Takahashi 11 +NHK
7. Song 11 +TEB
8. Kozuka 11 +NHK
Only one of Kozuka and Takahashi will probably make it as they battle each other at NHK. Song's chance are slim at TEB. So likely only one of the last 3 will be at the GPF. If I have to bet, my money is on Kozuka. #4, #5, and either #6 or #8 may need tie breakers for 2 spots.
Ladies:
1. Kostner 28 +TEB
2. Czisny 15 +TEB
3. Tuktamisheva 15 +TEB
4. Suzuki 13 +NHK
5. Wagner 11 +NHK
6. Sotnikova 11 +COR
7. Helgesson 11 +TEB
8. Leonova 9 +NHK+COR
9. Asada NHK +COR
The top 3 and #7 will face each other at TEB so Helgesson can be counted out. Kostner will be doing her 3rd event so she may just be the spoiler for either Czinsy or Tuk depending on Suzuki's performance. I'm including Leonove from among those with 9 points because she has two more chances, facing Asada and Sotnikova at COR, her 3rd event. Before that she will compete with Suzuki, Assada, Wagner at NHK, likely spoiling Wagner's chances.
Pairs:
1. Zhang/zhang 26
2. Moore-Towers/Moscovitch 22
3. Volosozhar/Trankov 15 +TEB
4. Kavaguti/Smirnov 15 +NHK+COR
5. Savshenko/Szolkowy 15 +NHK+COR
6. Duhamel/Radford 11 +TEB
7. Sui/Han 20
There are 3 Pairs with 9 points each but they have virtually no chance since they will all be facing S/S and K/S as well as each other at NHK. I'd say the top 6 pairs from the list are the Finalists
Dance:
1. Virtue/Moir 15 +TEB
2. Davis/White 15 +COR
3. Bobrova/Soloviev 15 +COR
4. Pechalat/Bourzat 13 +TEB
5. Weaver/Poje 13 +NHK+COR
6. Shibutani/Shibutani 13 +NHK
6a. Ilynikh/Katsalopov NHK+TEB
7. Capellini/Lanotte 11 +TEB
8. Tobias/Stagnunas 11 +COR
9. Carron/Jones 11 +COR
The top 4 are almost certain to get to the Final. #7 has to face #1 and #4 at TEB so likely to add 11 points and #8 and #9 have probably no chance at all competing with #2, #3 and #5 at COR. The Dance Final entries are virtually determined at this point, i.e. the top 6 from the list. eta. Thanks to Wallylutz pointing it out, I/P has been added who are yet to start competing but could possibly knock the Shibs from the Final.
Thanks npavel. Event added.
Men:
1. Chan 15 +TEB
2. Abbott 15 +COR
3. Brezina 15 +TEB+COR
4. Fernandez 13 +COR
5. Oda 13 +TEB
6. Takahashi 11 +NHK
7. Song 11 +TEB
8. Kozuka 11 +NHK
Only one of Kozuka and Takahashi will probably make it as they battle each other at NHK. Song's chance are slim at TEB. So likely only one of the last 3 will be at the GPF. If I have to bet, my money is on Kozuka. #4, #5, and either #6 or #8 may need tie breakers for 2 spots.
Ladies:
1. Kostner 28 +TEB
2. Czisny 15 +TEB
3. Tuktamisheva 15 +TEB
4. Suzuki 13 +NHK
5. Wagner 11 +NHK
6. Sotnikova 11 +COR
7. Helgesson 11 +TEB
8. Leonova 9 +NHK+COR
9. Asada NHK +COR
The top 3 and #7 will face each other at TEB so Helgesson can be counted out. Kostner will be doing her 3rd event so she may just be the spoiler for either Czinsy or Tuk depending on Suzuki's performance. I'm including Leonove from among those with 9 points because she has two more chances, facing Asada and Sotnikova at COR, her 3rd event. Before that she will compete with Suzuki, Assada, Wagner at NHK, likely spoiling Wagner's chances.
Pairs:
1. Zhang/zhang 26
2. Moore-Towers/Moscovitch 22
3. Volosozhar/Trankov 15 +TEB
4. Kavaguti/Smirnov 15 +NHK+COR
5. Savshenko/Szolkowy 15 +NHK+COR
6. Duhamel/Radford 11 +TEB
7. Sui/Han 20
There are 3 Pairs with 9 points each but they have virtually no chance since they will all be facing S/S and K/S as well as each other at NHK. I'd say the top 6 pairs from the list are the Finalists
Dance:
1. Virtue/Moir 15 +TEB
2. Davis/White 15 +COR
3. Bobrova/Soloviev 15 +COR
4. Pechalat/Bourzat 13 +TEB
5. Weaver/Poje 13 +NHK+COR
6. Shibutani/Shibutani 13 +NHK
6a. Ilynikh/Katsalopov NHK+TEB
7. Capellini/Lanotte 11 +TEB
8. Tobias/Stagnunas 11 +COR
9. Carron/Jones 11 +COR
The top 4 are almost certain to get to the Final. #7 has to face #1 and #4 at TEB so likely to add 11 points and #8 and #9 have probably no chance at all competing with #2, #3 and #5 at COR. The Dance Final entries are virtually determined at this point, i.e. the top 6 from the list. eta. Thanks to Wallylutz pointing it out, I/P has been added who are yet to start competing but could possibly knock the Shibs from the Final.
Thanks npavel. Event added.
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