- Joined
- Aug 4, 2018
i feel that rika should stop doing rippons on her 3Lo.
i feel that rika should stop doing rippons on her 3Lo.
Why?
Because it looks like it often makes her go off axis.
Not sure if the lack of Rippon would help the situation but pretty sure that is what the other skater was refering to.
I see, it seems to me that she goes off axis in the 3loop regardless of the rippon, interestingly I don't think she's ever fell on that jump regardless of that.It's weird since she has such good technique in all of her other jumps.
Bravo, girl. The skate was not perfect - still some really awkward moments when she kind of just jerks out of a position and moves on �� but she performed and did terrific. Now I really don't know if she can beat a clean Trusova sans quad or lutzes, but she certainly has the best shot of all the non-Hanyu skaters here ()... And considering she would almost always start on an enormous score deficit last season, her consistently nailing her wonderful and wacky SP makes me so proud �� Good luck in the free skate, our fierce lotus!
Copied from another thread, here's some number crunching:
Sasha scored 163.89 at Ondrej Nepala. If she successfully skates to that level, and the apparently strict panel doesn't ding her for anything, Rika will need about 156 to win. Rika's personal best of 154.72 in the free at NHK last season, where she landed everything, came with a TES of about 87 and a PCS of about 67. Given she scored 35/40 in PCS, and given that the music to her free this season is much easier to skate to than her short, it is reasonable to assume Rika has a healthy chance of scoring 72/80 thereabouts in PCS. Then, she's not going to get 87 in TES because she's replaced a 3Lz with a 2A (roughly a 3 point difference after taking into account GOEs), so a plausible score, if she skates completely cleanly, is 84 + 72 =156, which is the score I quoted as her needing to win.
Many things could change, of course. I've assumed that Sasha simply performs her 3 quad layout flawlessly like at ONT. If she lands her 4S cleanly, that's another (9.70 - 5.30) x 1.2 (rough estimate for GOE) = roughly 5.3 points, so assuming everyone skates cleanly and making assumptions about judging on other elements, Sasha has a 5-6 point buffer over Rika. And that's if her step sequence isn't called as level 2 again; if her step sequence is again called level 2, her predicted overall lead over Rika drops to about 3-4 points. Which means, as Rika is skating last, we will know by then whether she can win, and if so, what she needs to do to win. This will be fascinating to watch. I initially expected Sasha to have a field day against a Rika without a 3Lz.
I would say odds are even for either Rika or Sasha to take this.
All this, of course, shows that Rika + 3x3A + 4S will actually beat a 4 quad Sasha, assuming both are clean. I'm excited to see Rika attempt a 4S at a future competition. GPF hopefully.
Trusova was not perfect at Ondrej Nepala. She botched her (usually reliable) 3Lz+3Lo and lost around 6-7 points on it. Her PCS will also surely rise as the season progresses.
A clean Trusova will take it tomorrow, but Kihira will have her chances if Trusova falters.
I wonder which will happen first: 4S from Kihira or 3A from Trusova.
Rika was marvelous! :luv17: her 3A just keeps getting better and better, I love the song and her interpretation of it, gosh she was so great
Trusova was not perfect at Ondrej Nepala. She botched her (usually reliable) 3Lz+3Lo and lost around 6-7 points on it. Her PCS will also surely rise as the season progresses.
A clean Trusova will take it tomorrow, but Kihira will have her chances if Trusova falters.
I wonder which will happen first: 4S from Kihira or 3A from Trusova.