Pechalat and Bourzat FRA should win both the short dance and the entire event with ease. They have excellent programs for both the SD and the FD, have prepared carefully by skating several summer competitions, and should easily breeze into the GPF with 30 points after TEB. Their short dance to music from the Dr. Zhivago soundtrack is an excellent one!
However, the last Grand Prix spot will be decided here at TEB, and the result is by no means certain. Chock and Zuerlein USA could make the Grand Prix Final by finishing second here. The other teams skating here are mathematically eliminated, as even a win would not garner them enough points to pass Hoffman and Zavozin for HUN the last spot. However, Riazanova and Tkachenko RUS or Carron and Jones FRA could win the silver here over Team Chock.
In the short dance, Chock and Zuerlein's previous scores were lower than Carron/Jones and Riazanova/Tkachenko. However Chock/Zuerlein had 2 costly mistakes at Skate Canada. Madison had a problem in the twizzles, which cost them both a level and GOE (and this team normally has good twizzles). More peculiar, their Rotational Lift was only called level one. They & their coaches should have been able to easily put in a higher scoring lift. Consequently, their well-choreographed SD to Edith Piaf songs could yield a significantly better score here than at Skate Canada. And their FD was significantly better than the other teams, other than Pechalat's. I think they will take the silver here.
If they don't, the team most likely to finish second would be Riazanova and Tkachenko. Their Short Dance is a lovely one, set to Sviridov's waltz from Snowstorm. However, they skated it very well at Skate America, and there are no easy places for them to pick up higher technical scores than they did there.
Carron and Jones are skating on home ice, but in my opinion, their programs are not as interesting and well-skated as either Riazanova & Tkachenko's or as Chock & Zuerlein's. They skated their short dance well at Skate Canada, and so have no easy way to gain technical points. Nonetheless, they are skating to a Jacques Brel waltz, they are on home ice, and they should have the advantage of the support of the audience. It is never smart to ignore the effects of those advantages.
For those who miss the CD, here are past scores from earlier events on the Grand Prix for those who are competing here in bold, with some high scores of the season for comparison:
Davis & White Golden Waltz at Skate America 14.58 (66.97 at NHK/63.62 at SA)
Kerrs Golden Waltz at Skate Canada 14.50 (62.96 at SC)
Crone & Poirier Golden Waltz at Skate Canada 14.14 (62.95 at SC/ 12.47 and 60.41 at SA)
Zhiganshina & Gaszi Golden Waltz at Nebelhorn 13.86 (54.02 at Nebelhorn) (two level 4's!)
Chock & Zuerlein Golden Waltz at Skate Canada 13.57 (54.19 at SC)
Bobrova & Soloviev Golden Waltz at CoR 13.43 (60.80 at CoR) (12.86/55.85 at CoC)
Pechalat & Bourzat Golden Waltz at Cup of China 13.00 (64.12 at CoC)Carron & Jones Golden Waltz at Skate Canada 12.57 (54.43 at Skate Canada)
Riazanova & Tkachenko at Skate America 11.71 (55.52 at SA)
Ralph & Hill Golden Waltz at Cup of China 11.07 (48.10 at CoC)
Huang & Zheng Golden Waltz at Cup of China 11.00 (49.70 at CoC)
Cannuscio & Lorello Golden Waltz at Cup of China 5.48 (38.34) Both segments level 1
Turoczi and Major Golden Waltz at NHK 4.67 (32.68 at NHK)
And past scores for the SD on the GP for the TEB entrants:
Pechalat & Bourzat 64.12 CoC
Riazanova & Tkachenko 55.52 SA
Carron & Jones 54.43 SC
Chock & Zuerlein 54.19 SC
Huang & Zheng 49.70 CoC
Cannuscio & Lorello 38.34 CoC
Turoczi & Major 32.68 NHK
WARM UP GROUP 1
Dora TUROCZI / Balazs MAJOR HUN 58th ISU World Standings
Coach: Ilona Berecz
Choreographer: Galit Chait
FD Be Italian by Fergie 10th at NHK ( 54.72)
SD Waltz: The Royal Waltz; Quickstep: Sing, Sing, Sing
SD Short Dance 10th at NHK (32.68)
Rotational Lift Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 1
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Sequential Twizzle Level 3
Not Touching Midline Step Level 1
Base 18.50
TES 15.81
PCS 16.87
TOTAL 32.86
Isabella CANNUSCIO / Ian LORELLO USA 48th in ISU Standings
Coach: Karen Ludington, A. Kirsanov, C. Moxley
Choreographer: Alexander Kirsanov
FD West Side Story by Leonard Bernstein , 10th in the FD at Cup of China (63.49)
SD Piano Man by Billy Joel 10th in the SD at Cup of China ( 38.34 )
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Not Touching Midline Step Level 1
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 1
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 1
Rotational Lift Level 4
Base 19.50
TES 19.05
PCS 19.29
Total 38.34
Ekaterina RIAZANOVA / Ilia TKACHENKO RUS 30th in ISU World Standings
Coach: Alexei Gorshkov
Choreographer: Sergei Petukhov
FD Mexico 5th at Skate America (81.62)
SD Waltz: The Snowstorm by Georgi Sviridov 5th at Skate America (55.52)
Not Touching Midline Step Level 2
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 3
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Rotational Lift Level 4
Base 26.00
TES 28.49
PCS 27.03
Total 55.52
Kharis RALPH / Asher HILL CAN 22nd in ISU World Standings
Coach: Carol Lane, Juris Razguljaevs
Choreographer: Carol Lane, Juris Razguliaevs
FD Summertime by George Gershwin; Senie, 7th at Cup of China ( 71.41) in the FD
SD Ten Minutes Ago by Richard Rodgers and Oscar Hammerstein; 6th in the SD at Cup of China (48.10)
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 3
Rotational Lift Level 3
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Not Touching Midline Step Level 1
Base 24.00
TES 25.01
PCS 23.09
Total 48.10
WARM UP GROUP 2
Pernelle CARRON / Lloyd JONES FRA 21st in ISU World Standings
Coach: Muriel Zazoui, Romain Haguenauer, D. Ribas
Choreographer: Antonio Najarro
FD Paint It Black and Angie by The Rolling Stones; 5th 81.60 at Skate Canada
SD Waltz: La Valse A Mille Temps by Jacques Brel; 3rd at Skate Canada (54.43)
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 2
Rotational Lift Level 3
Not Touching Midline Step Level 2
Transitional Lift
Base 26.50
TES 28.71
PCS 25.72
Total 54.43
Xintong HUANG / Xun ZHENG CHN 17th in ISU Standings
Coach: Hongyan Xi
Choreographer: Natalia Linichuk
FD Singing in the Rain; 6th at Cup of China( 74.90)
SD Waltz: Waltz No. 2 from Jazz Suite No. 2 by Dmitri Shostakovich; 5th at Cup of China (49.70)
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Not Touching Midline Step Level 1
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 3
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Rotational Lift Level 4
Transitional Lift
Base 24.50
TES 25.08
PCS 24.62
Total 49.70
Madison CHOCK / Greg ZUERLEIN USA 16th in ISU World Standings
Coach: Igor Shpilband, Marina Zueva
Choreographer: Igor Shpilband, Marina Zueva
FD Caberet soundtrack: Money and Life Is A Caberet; 4th at Skate Canada (84.86)
SD Foxtrot: Milord by Edith Piaf; Waltz: Padam Padam by Edith Piaf; 4th at Canada (54.19)
SD 4th Skate Canada 54.19
Not Touching Midline Step Level 3
Sequential Twizzle Level 3 problem (Madison)
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 3
Rotational Lift Level 1
Base 26.00
TES 28.21
PCS 25.96
TOTAL 54.19
Nathalie PECHALAT / Fabian BOURZAT FRA 2nd ISU World Standings
Coach: Alexander Zhulin, Oleg Volkov, Maxim Staviski
Choreographer: Alexander Zhulin
FD Charlie Chaplin medley; 1st at Cup of China {95.47}
SD Waltz: Main theme from "Dr. Zhivago" (soundtrack) by Maurice Jarre; 1st at Cup of China ( 64.12)
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Not Touching Midline Step Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 4
Rotational Lift Level 4
Base 30
TES 32.71
PCS 21.41
total 64.12
However, the last Grand Prix spot will be decided here at TEB, and the result is by no means certain. Chock and Zuerlein USA could make the Grand Prix Final by finishing second here. The other teams skating here are mathematically eliminated, as even a win would not garner them enough points to pass Hoffman and Zavozin for HUN the last spot. However, Riazanova and Tkachenko RUS or Carron and Jones FRA could win the silver here over Team Chock.
In the short dance, Chock and Zuerlein's previous scores were lower than Carron/Jones and Riazanova/Tkachenko. However Chock/Zuerlein had 2 costly mistakes at Skate Canada. Madison had a problem in the twizzles, which cost them both a level and GOE (and this team normally has good twizzles). More peculiar, their Rotational Lift was only called level one. They & their coaches should have been able to easily put in a higher scoring lift. Consequently, their well-choreographed SD to Edith Piaf songs could yield a significantly better score here than at Skate Canada. And their FD was significantly better than the other teams, other than Pechalat's. I think they will take the silver here.
If they don't, the team most likely to finish second would be Riazanova and Tkachenko. Their Short Dance is a lovely one, set to Sviridov's waltz from Snowstorm. However, they skated it very well at Skate America, and there are no easy places for them to pick up higher technical scores than they did there.
Carron and Jones are skating on home ice, but in my opinion, their programs are not as interesting and well-skated as either Riazanova & Tkachenko's or as Chock & Zuerlein's. They skated their short dance well at Skate Canada, and so have no easy way to gain technical points. Nonetheless, they are skating to a Jacques Brel waltz, they are on home ice, and they should have the advantage of the support of the audience. It is never smart to ignore the effects of those advantages.
For those who miss the CD, here are past scores from earlier events on the Grand Prix for those who are competing here in bold, with some high scores of the season for comparison:
Davis & White Golden Waltz at Skate America 14.58 (66.97 at NHK/63.62 at SA)
Kerrs Golden Waltz at Skate Canada 14.50 (62.96 at SC)
Crone & Poirier Golden Waltz at Skate Canada 14.14 (62.95 at SC/ 12.47 and 60.41 at SA)
Zhiganshina & Gaszi Golden Waltz at Nebelhorn 13.86 (54.02 at Nebelhorn) (two level 4's!)
Chock & Zuerlein Golden Waltz at Skate Canada 13.57 (54.19 at SC)
Bobrova & Soloviev Golden Waltz at CoR 13.43 (60.80 at CoR) (12.86/55.85 at CoC)
Pechalat & Bourzat Golden Waltz at Cup of China 13.00 (64.12 at CoC)Carron & Jones Golden Waltz at Skate Canada 12.57 (54.43 at Skate Canada)
Riazanova & Tkachenko at Skate America 11.71 (55.52 at SA)
Ralph & Hill Golden Waltz at Cup of China 11.07 (48.10 at CoC)
Huang & Zheng Golden Waltz at Cup of China 11.00 (49.70 at CoC)
Cannuscio & Lorello Golden Waltz at Cup of China 5.48 (38.34) Both segments level 1
Turoczi and Major Golden Waltz at NHK 4.67 (32.68 at NHK)
And past scores for the SD on the GP for the TEB entrants:
Pechalat & Bourzat 64.12 CoC
Riazanova & Tkachenko 55.52 SA
Carron & Jones 54.43 SC
Chock & Zuerlein 54.19 SC
Huang & Zheng 49.70 CoC
Cannuscio & Lorello 38.34 CoC
Turoczi & Major 32.68 NHK
WARM UP GROUP 1
Dora TUROCZI / Balazs MAJOR HUN 58th ISU World Standings
Coach: Ilona Berecz
Choreographer: Galit Chait
FD Be Italian by Fergie 10th at NHK ( 54.72)
SD Waltz: The Royal Waltz; Quickstep: Sing, Sing, Sing
SD Short Dance 10th at NHK (32.68)
Rotational Lift Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 1
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Sequential Twizzle Level 3
Not Touching Midline Step Level 1
Base 18.50
TES 15.81
PCS 16.87
TOTAL 32.86
Isabella CANNUSCIO / Ian LORELLO USA 48th in ISU Standings
Coach: Karen Ludington, A. Kirsanov, C. Moxley
Choreographer: Alexander Kirsanov
FD West Side Story by Leonard Bernstein , 10th in the FD at Cup of China (63.49)
SD Piano Man by Billy Joel 10th in the SD at Cup of China ( 38.34 )
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Not Touching Midline Step Level 1
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 1
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 1
Rotational Lift Level 4
Base 19.50
TES 19.05
PCS 19.29
Total 38.34
Ekaterina RIAZANOVA / Ilia TKACHENKO RUS 30th in ISU World Standings
Coach: Alexei Gorshkov
Choreographer: Sergei Petukhov
FD Mexico 5th at Skate America (81.62)
SD Waltz: The Snowstorm by Georgi Sviridov 5th at Skate America (55.52)
Not Touching Midline Step Level 2
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 3
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Rotational Lift Level 4
Base 26.00
TES 28.49
PCS 27.03
Total 55.52
Kharis RALPH / Asher HILL CAN 22nd in ISU World Standings
Coach: Carol Lane, Juris Razguljaevs
Choreographer: Carol Lane, Juris Razguliaevs
FD Summertime by George Gershwin; Senie, 7th at Cup of China ( 71.41) in the FD
SD Ten Minutes Ago by Richard Rodgers and Oscar Hammerstein; 6th in the SD at Cup of China (48.10)
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 3
Rotational Lift Level 3
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Not Touching Midline Step Level 1
Base 24.00
TES 25.01
PCS 23.09
Total 48.10
WARM UP GROUP 2
Pernelle CARRON / Lloyd JONES FRA 21st in ISU World Standings
Coach: Muriel Zazoui, Romain Haguenauer, D. Ribas
Choreographer: Antonio Najarro
FD Paint It Black and Angie by The Rolling Stones; 5th 81.60 at Skate Canada
SD Waltz: La Valse A Mille Temps by Jacques Brel; 3rd at Skate Canada (54.43)
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 2
Rotational Lift Level 3
Not Touching Midline Step Level 2
Transitional Lift
Base 26.50
TES 28.71
PCS 25.72
Total 54.43
Xintong HUANG / Xun ZHENG CHN 17th in ISU Standings
Coach: Hongyan Xi
Choreographer: Natalia Linichuk
FD Singing in the Rain; 6th at Cup of China( 74.90)
SD Waltz: Waltz No. 2 from Jazz Suite No. 2 by Dmitri Shostakovich; 5th at Cup of China (49.70)
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Not Touching Midline Step Level 1
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 3
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Rotational Lift Level 4
Transitional Lift
Base 24.50
TES 25.08
PCS 24.62
Total 49.70
Madison CHOCK / Greg ZUERLEIN USA 16th in ISU World Standings
Coach: Igor Shpilband, Marina Zueva
Choreographer: Igor Shpilband, Marina Zueva
FD Caberet soundtrack: Money and Life Is A Caberet; 4th at Skate Canada (84.86)
SD Foxtrot: Milord by Edith Piaf; Waltz: Padam Padam by Edith Piaf; 4th at Canada (54.19)
SD 4th Skate Canada 54.19
Not Touching Midline Step Level 3
Sequential Twizzle Level 3 problem (Madison)
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 3
Rotational Lift Level 1
Base 26.00
TES 28.21
PCS 25.96
TOTAL 54.19
Nathalie PECHALAT / Fabian BOURZAT FRA 2nd ISU World Standings
Coach: Alexander Zhulin, Oleg Volkov, Maxim Staviski
Choreographer: Alexander Zhulin
FD Charlie Chaplin medley; 1st at Cup of China {95.47}
SD Waltz: Main theme from "Dr. Zhivago" (soundtrack) by Maurice Jarre; 1st at Cup of China ( 64.12)
Sequential Twizzle Level 4
Not Touching Midline Step Level 4
Golden Waltz Segment 2 Level 2
Golden Waltz Segment 1 Level 4
Rotational Lift Level 4
Base 30
TES 32.71
PCS 21.41
total 64.12
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