2017 Skate America: GP Predictions Game Round 6

[daphenaxa]

Men:
1. Nathan CHEN
2. Boyang JIN
3. Adam RIPPON
4. Sergei VORONOV
5. Han YAN
6. Maxim KOVTUN

Ladies:
1. Polina TSURSKAYA
2. Ashley WAGNER
3. Gabrielle DALEMAN
4. Satoko MIYAHARA
5. Kaori SAKAMOTO
6. Karen CHEN

Pairs:
1. Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD
2. Aliona SAVCHENKO / Bruno MASSOT
3. Xiaoyu YU / Hao ZHANG
4. Kirsten MOORE-TOWERS / Michael MARINARO
5. Alexa SCIMECA KNIERIM / Chris KNIERIM
6. Natalia ZABIIAKO / Alexander ENBERT

Ice Dance:
1. Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI
2. Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE
3. Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER
4. Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER
5. Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV
6. Tiffany ZAGORSKI / Jonathan GUERREIRO

 

[Marius]

MEN:
1. Nathan CHEN
2. JIN Boyang
3. Adam RIPPON
4. Maxim KOVTUN
5. Sergei VORONOV
-6. YAN Han
-7. Ross MINER

LADIES:
1. Polina TSURSKAYA
2. Ashley WAGNER
3. MIYAHARA Satoko
4. Gabrielle DALEMAN
5. SAKAMOTO Kaori
-6. Bradie TENNELL
-7. Karen CHEN

PAIRS:
1. SAVCHENKO/MASSOT
2. DUHAMEL/RADFORD
3. YU/ZHANG
4. ZABIIAKO/ENBERT
5. MOORE-TOWERS/MARINARO
-6. SCIMECA KNIERIM/KNIERIM
-7. DENNEY/FRAZIER

DANCE:
1. SHIBUTANI/SHIBUTANI
2. CAPPELLINI/LANOTTE
3. GILLES/POIRIER
4. SINITSINA/KATSALAPOV
5. HAWAYEK/BAKER
-6. ZAGORSKI/GUERREIRO
-7. PARSONS/PARSONS

 

[liv]

1. Nathan CHEN
2. Boyang JIN
3. Adam RIPPON
4. Sergei VORONOV
5. Han YAN
6. Maxim KOVTUN


Pairs:
1. Aliona SAVCHENKO / Bruno MASSOT
2. Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD
3. Xiaoyu YU / Hao ZHANG
4. Natalia ZABIIAKO / Alexander ENBERT
5. Alexa SCIMECA KNIERIM / Chris KNIERIM
6. Kirsten MOORE-TOWERS / Michael MARINARO


Ice Dance:
1. Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI
2. Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE
3. Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER
4. Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER
5. Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV
6. Rachel PARSONS / Michael PARSONS

Ladies:
1. Polina TSURSKAYA
2. Gabrielle DALEMAN
3. Ashley WAGNER
4. Karen CHEN
5. Satoko MIYAHARA
6. Kaori SAKAMOTO

 

[MIM]

Men
1. Nathan CHEN
2. Sergei VORONOV
3. Boyang JIN
4. Adam RIPPON
5. Han YAN
6. Ross MINER

Ladies
1. Polina TSURSKAYA
2. Gabrielle DALEMAN
3. Kaori SAKAMOTO
4. Ashley WAGNER
5. Satoko MIYAHARA
6. Alena LEONOVA

Ice Dance
1. Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI
2. Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE
3. Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER
4. Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV
5. Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER
6. Tiffani ZAGORSKI / Jonathan GUERREIRO

Pairs
1. Aliona SAVCHENKO / Bruno MASSOT
2. Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD
3. Xiaoyu YU / Hao ZHANG
4. Kirsten MOORE-TOWERS / Michael MARINARO
5. Alexa SCIMECA KNIERIM / Chris KNIERIM
6. Natalia ZABIIAKO / Alexander ENBERT

 

[LadyB]

Men:
1. Nathan Chen
2. Sergei Voronov
3. Boyang Jin
4. Adam Rippon
5. Han Yan
6. Liam Firus

Ladies:
1. Polina Tsurskaya
2. Ashley Wagner
3. Serafima Sakhanovich
4. Satoko Miyahara
5. Kaori Sakamoto
6. Karen Chen

Pairs:
1. Duhamel / Radford
2. Savchenko / Massot
3. Yu / Zhang
4. Zabiiako / Enbert
5. Scimeca Knierim / Knierim
6. Moore-Towers / Marinaro

Ice Dance:
1. Shibutani / Shibutani
2. Cappellini / Lanotte
3. Gilles / Poirier
4. Sinitsina / Katsalapov
5. Wang / Liu
6. Parsons / Parsons

 

[CaroLiza_fan]

Far too tired to write an analysis of my thinking. Come to think of it, I didn’t think at all. I was just on auto-pilot.

CaroLiza_fan


SKATE AMERICA

Ladies

1. Satoko MIYAHARA, JPN
2. Polina TSURSKAYA, RUS
3. Kaori SAKAMOTO, JPN
4. Serafima SAKHANOVICH, RUS
5. Alena LEONOVA, RUS

Just for fun:
6. Ashley WAGNER, USA
7. Gabrielle DALEMAN, CAN
8. Karen CHEN, USA
9. Nicole RAJICOVA, SVK
10. Bradie TENNELL, USA
11. Xiangning LI, CHN


Men

1. Boyang JIN, CHN
2. Sergei VORONOV, RUS
3. Takahito MURA, JPN
4. Han YAN, CHN
5. Nathan CHEN, USA

Just for fun:
6. Adam RIPPON, USA
7. Liam FIRUS, CAN
8. Maxim KOVTUN, RUS
9. Kevin REYNOLDS, CAN
10. Ross MINER, USA
11. Roman SADOVSKY, CAN
12. Daniel SAMOHIN, ISR


Pairs

1. Aliona SAVCHENKO / Bruno MASSOT, GER
2. Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD, CAN
3. Xiaoyu YU / Hao ZHANG, CHN
4. Alexa SCIMECA KNIERIM / Chris KNIERIM, USA
5. Kirsten MOORE-TOWERS / Michael MARINARO, CAN

Just for fun:
6. Haven DENNEY / Brandon FRAZIER, USA
7. Natalia ZABIIAKO / Alexander ENBERT, RUS
8. Deanna STELLATO / Nathan BARTHOLOMAY, USA


Ice Dance

1. Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI, USA
2. Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE, ITA
3. Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER, CAN
4. Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER, USA
5. Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV, RUS

Just for fun:
6. Tiffani ZAGORSKI / Jonathan GUERREIRO, RUS
7. Rachel PARSONS / Michael PARSONS, USA
8. Kana MURAMOTO / Chris REED, JPN
9. Shiyue WANG / Xinyu LIU, CHN

 

[nikki51]

LADIES:

1. Polina TSURSKAYA
2. Ashley WAGNER
3. Gabrielle DALEMAN
4. Karen CHEN
5. Satoko MIYAHARA
6. Kaori Sakamoto

MEN:

1. Nathan CHEN
2. Adam RIPPON
3. Boyang JIN
4. Sergei VORONOV
5. Han YAN
6. Takahito MURA


PAIRS:

1. Meagan DUHAMEL/ Eric RADFORD
2. Aliona SAVCHENKO/Bruno MASSOT
3. Xiaoyu YU/Hao ZHANG
4. Alexa SCIMECA KNIERIM/Chris KNIERIM
5. Natalia ZABIAKO/Alexander ENBERT
6. Kirsten MOORE-TOWERS/Michael MARINARO


ICE DANCE:

1. Maia SHIBUTANI/Alex SHIBUTANI
2. Anna CAPELLINI/Luca LANOTTE
3. Piper GILLES/Paul POIRIER
4. Victoria SINITSINA/Nikita KATSALAPOV
5. Tiffani ZAGORSKI / Jonathan GUERREIRO
6. Kaitlin HAWAYEK/Jean-Luc BAKER

 

[SubRosa]

Just did a quick cruise through this thread, and saw a lot of 65's and 60's for pairs. Duhamel/Radford finishing third messed up almost everybody, but I think I saw one perfect score, kudos!

I was doing this while helping my daughter with calculus homework, which got me thinking. Any math brains out there? How many permutations of 5 skaters/teams are there when you have 8-12 skaters/teams to choose from? What is the formula to figure that out?

 

[Mrs. P]

Men
1. Nathan Chen
2. Adam Rippon
3. Sergei Voronov
4. Boyang Jin
5. Han Yan
--
6. Ross Miner

Just because, leave it to the strangest GP EVER for this to happen. :shocked:

#givemeabeerplease

 

[invisiblespiral]

Just did a quick cruise through this thread, and saw a lot of 65's and 60's for pairs. Duhamel/Radford finishing third messed up almost everybody, but I think I saw one perfect score, kudos!

I was doing this while helping my daughter with calculus homework, which got me thinking. Any math brains out there? How many permutations of 5 skaters/teams are there when you have 8-12 skaters/teams to choose from? What is the formula to figure that out?

If you have 12, then it's 12 (people who could finish first) * 11 (people who could finish second) * 10 (people who could finish third)... and so on.

So, number of people * (n-1) * (n-2) until you get all the slots filled up.

 

[[email protected]]

Just did a quick cruise through this thread, and saw a lot of 65's and 60's for pairs. Duhamel/Radford finishing third messed up almost everybody, but I think I saw one perfect score, kudos!

I was doing this while helping my daughter with calculus homework, which got me thinking. Any math brains out there? How many permutations of 5 skaters/teams are there when you have 8-12 skaters/teams to choose from? What is the formula to figure that out?

The number of variations when you have 12 skaters and you need to pick 5 in a certain order is 12!/7!

 

[Weathergal]

Men’s Results

GOLD with 75 points: Mrs. P, Pippuripihvi, silverfoxes

SILVER with 65 points: casualfan, Debrah, Fish in the sea, Greta, icetug, LaArdilla, nikki51, slider11, StitchMonkey, sunnystars, temadd, voolfee

BRONZE with 60 points: Bellaxx, skylark

Congratulations to all the medalists! :hap93:

All the gold medalists were impressive with their perfect scores, but I have to give an extra shout-out to Mrs. P, who even predicted Ross Miner correctly in sixth place. Although there’s technically no extra credit for your sixth/”in case of withdrawal” pick being correct, I’ll send you that beer you mentioned in one of your posts in the predictions thread – you deserve it! (Unfortunately it’s just a virtual one…) :gclap:

Other players who got the podium in the correct order: Debrah, Pippuripihvi, silverfoxes, StitchMonkey, temadd

Even though it was another crazy Men’s event, and it sadly had the withdrawal of Jorik Hendrickx before the event and Maxim Kovtun and Daniel Samohin after the SP, scores were much higher overall this week. The most common score was 55 with 67 players with that score! That’s a whole lotta platinum! (And it would have been a whole lotta typing if instead of platinum, that was bronze! )

Most players correctly predicted Nathan Chen for gold and pretty many people also had Han Yan correctly in fifth place. In fact, quite a few people had the top five skaters correct – just not in the correct order.

A good amount of people had Sergei Voronov correct for bronze; however quite a few had Adam Rippon and Boyang Jin reversed.

The withdrawals didn’t affect scoring too much. There were a few people who still had Hendrickx in their predictions, and a fair amount of people had Kovtun in their guesses. But in most cases, they were covered with extra picks, so their picks just moved up a slot. Interestingly enough, many of the people who did have Kovtun had him fifth and Yan in sixth, so that moved Yan into the correct spot of fifth. No one had Daniel Samohin in their top five picks.

So sad to see still more injuries, including Samohin, who was fifth after the SP – it was great to see him do well after he struggled so much this season. Wishing all the skaters much better health!

The GPF men’s entries will be: Nathan Chen, Shoma Uno, Mikhail Kolyada, Sergei Voronov, Adam Rippon, Boyang Jin. Alternates are (in order): Jason Brown, Javier Fernandez, Misha Ge. Congratulations – here’s hoping for great skates for all of them!

Good luck to everyone with your GPF picks!

I’ve added the scores to the spreadsheet. If you have any corrections, feel free to PM me.

 

[[email protected]]

Who would expect that ladies go they way they stand after the SP? In fact, icelist, more or less, who correctly predicted Sakamoto, Daleman, and Tennel and is a provisional leader with 55 points. Well, even icelist could not see Polina outside top 5. Still, quite impressive. I think, no one can stop Mrs.P's spurt to the top. With 45 point she is trailing icelist. Having "ice" in the nickname may help this time: icetug also has 45. Finally with 40 CaroLiza_Fan and myself are currently on the third. Most of the people have 10-20 points. Let's hope that Polina will redeem herself in the free.

 

[NoNameFace]

Who would expect that ladies go they way they stand after the SP? In fact, icelist, more or less, who correctly predicted Sakamoto, Daleman, and Tennel and is a provisional leader with 55 points. Well, even icelist could not see Polina outside top 5. Still, quite impressive. I think, no one can stop Mrs.P's spurt to the top. With 45 point she is trailing icelist. Having "ice" in the nickname may help this time: icetug also has 45. Finally with 40 CaroLiza_Fan and myself are currently on the third. Most of the people have 10-20 points. Let's hope that Polina will redeem herself in the free.

:scowl:, I want to hide, this will be an ending with 'bang', not neccessarily good one...GPF will be a nightmare to sort in singles

 

[[email protected]]

Ladies' results

What an event! Out of 122 predictions 68 earned 10 points and less. The more valuable is to win this!



GOLD with 40 points: Pippuripihvi, CaroLiza_Fan

SILVER with 35 points: Shoma One

BRONZE with 30 points: russianfan, Poice, icedance, [email protected]

Congratulations to all the medalists! :hap93:



Ashley's WD brought the havoc to my scoring model - I had to make manual adjustments taking her off predictions, shifting everyone else up and bringing the substitutte to the 5th place. I tried to be careful but with manual labor mistakes may happen. If you think your score is different, please let me know.

 

[xibsuarz]

What on Earth was this GP in singles...

 

[Mrs. P]

Oooohh I think I got Pewter in Ladies! I got Serafima right in 5th and one off with Bradie in 4th! 25 points YAY.

 

[temadd]

Woo hoo 65 pts for silver in men's and a sad 10 points in the women's

 

[LadyB]

I'll be doing Pairs sometime today. Promise. :agree2:

 

[russianfan]

predictions for Kaori and Sakhanovich save the day