I don't remember seeing that AKHANTEVA / KOLESOV split. But I did expect them to stay juniors. Where did you get that info from?
Name mixup. I will mark them as JGP
I don't remember seeing that AKHANTEVA / KOLESOV split. But I did expect them to stay juniors. Where did you get that info from?
Shcherbakova, Kostornaya and Trusova are all getting 2 spots, right?
You're correct about this part, but the top 6 skaters from worlds also actually get to pick which GP events they go to (other than numbers 3 and 6 who are stuck with whatever the other two above them didn't pick). So for example, Alina gets to pick where she goes, Elizabet picks from whats left, and then Evgenia gets the two that are left. Same thing with Rika, Kaori and Satoko. Because of this, I think Alina will choose CoR (even if she doesn't want it, the fed will probably push her to choose it), and then maybe IdF (NHK and CoC are only a week apart from CoR, and SA/SC are really far and would cause a lot of jet lag). Rika will probablly choose NHK because she gets to choose 1st out of the Japanese girls, and the federation probably agrees with this since she was such a big star this season and has the biggest scoring potential. As for the others, I have no idea what they'll choose. It's too bad Lilbet can't go to CoR since she trains there, that would have been very convenient for her.I'm fairly sure it's only 1-3 and 4-6 from Worlds who can't be in the same event. These are the "seeded" skaters. The others guaranteed two spots from Worlds are allowed to skate in the same event.
You're correct about this part, but the top 6 skaters from worlds also actually get to pick which GP events they go to (other than numbers 3 and 6 who are stuck with whatever the other two above them didn't pick).
The other girls who will/might get at least one event (assuming Kaitlyn and Carolina aren't competing):
Wakaba HIGUCHI, Stanislava KONSTANTINOVA, Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA, Yuna SHIRAIWA, Viveca LINDFORS,
Mai MIHARA, Alexia PAGANINI, Alexandra TRUSOVA, Maria SOTSKOVA, Laurine LECAVELIER, Mako YAMASHITA, Mae Berenice MEITE
Yelim KIM, Alena KOSTORNAIA, Ting CUI, Serafima SAKHANOVICH, Anna SHCHERBAKOVA,
Anna TARUSINA, Anastasiia GUBANOVA
You're correct about this part, but the top 6 skaters from worlds also actually get to pick which GP events they go to (other than numbers 3 and 6 who are stuck with whatever the other two above them didn't pick). So for example, Alina gets to pick where she goes, Elizabet picks from whats left, and then Evgenia gets the two that are left. Same thing with Rika, Kaori and Satoko. Because of this, I think Alina will choose CoR (even if she doesn't want it, the fed will probably push her to choose it), and then maybe IdF (NHK and CoC are only a week apart from CoR, and SA/SC are really far and would cause a lot of jet lag). Rika will probablly choose NHK because she gets to choose 1st out of the Japanese girls, and the federation probably agrees with this since she was such a big star this season and has the biggest scoring potential. As for the others, I have no idea what they'll choose. It's too bad Lilbet can't go to CoR since she trains there, that would have been very convenient for her.
It’s not guaranteed but I am sure RusFed will do everything they can to make it happen. Worst case scenario they will have to use their host picks for 1-2 of them.
For pairs we have:
For SA, they'll have Cain/Leduc. Maybe Denney/Frazier, since they were 2nd at Nats (but this could be someone else like K/O or SK/K). Then a TBD, which will have plenty of options depending on who picks up non-guaranteed spots (teams like Calalang/Johnson, Lu/Mitrofanov, Feng/Nyman, etc.).
Actually, Calalang/Johnson are guaranteed one spot because they are 24th on the SB list. Also, I think Lu/Mitrofanov will be 24th in the WS after the data recalculation, so they would get a guaranteed berth as well.
2. Sinitsina/Katsalapov - Skate Canada and Rostelecom; the latter as a home event, the former because once P/C have made their choices and Hubbell/Donohue take Skate America, the only remaining possibilities are SCI or doing back-to-back with Cup of China.
I think they may prefer back-to-back at Cup of China rather than flying across the ocean (and head-to-head against Canada's national champions in W&P's backyard). Same as Hubbell & Donohue preferred to do back to back SA and SC this year. Depends, though, probably on whether S&K want the earlier feedback & more time to respond between events.
With Stepanova & Bukin, I think the big question is whether Russia will want both top teams. (Hedging their bets for both and clearing out the rest of the field via control over invitations). It's quite uncommon to invite two top homefield dance teams that are closely ranked. But Russia did invite it's two top-ranked teams during the Olympic season with Bobrova & Soloviev and Stepanova & Bukin, and it is a viable means for trying to get a team into the Final. Plus, then they have less chance of fallout if S&K royally muck up.
Can we expand the topic of the thread with predictions of actual assignments to gp events? I know it's quite early and we don't even know who will be invited (as a host pick), a lot of things can happen last moment, there might be withdrawals, we don't know who will return and who will get a second event, but I think maybe we can assume and hypothesize?
For pairs we have:
1. Sui/Han
2. Tarasova/Morozov
3. Zabiiako/Enbert
—
4. Peng/Jin
5. James/Cipres
6. Boikova/Kozlovskii
The three totally obvious ones to me are S/H getting CoC, T/M getting CoR and J/C getting IdF. S/H would likely get NHK as their second event, since it works geographically, it's not back to back, and they're the World Champs. Skaters tend to like Japan and NHK tends to have a lot of the WCs every year. That leaves SA, SC and IdF. Z/E could do the SA/SC back to back, but I think it's more likely that they would get SA and IdF, leaving SC for T/M. That would also avoid T/M going up against J/C at home. The Russian fed would likely avoid Z/E having to do Canada/France back to back.
In the 4-6, all three teams are from host countries, but J/C are the only ones I'm sure will get their home event. I'm sure Russia wouldn't want J/C, so their 2nd event would be either SA or NHK. My only hesitation with putting P/J in for CoC is that I suspect they'll have Yu/Zhang there if they're ready to compete, and I'm not sure they'd want their top three pairs all there (they didn't do that in 2017-18). I'd guess they'll take them though, since in 2017 S/H and Y/Z came 4th at Worlds, and both were at CoC 2017. And if that does happen, then B/K should get CoR, since it won't be J/C and it would be a back to back for P/J (and not at all close together). Then there are a few possibilities for the final spots. I'll say P/J get NHK, since they're the highest seed and it's not too much travel (but I could see it going to J/C as well). Then J/C at SA and B/K at SC.
This would give us:
SA: Z/E, J/C
SC: T/M, B/K
IdF: Z/E, J/C
CoC: S/H, P/J
CoR: T/M, B/K
NHK: S/H, P/J
For host picks:
For SA, they'll have Cain/Leduc. Maybe Denney/Frazier, since they were 2nd at Nats (but this could be someone else like K/O or SK/K). Then a TBD, which will have plenty of options depending on who picks up non-guaranteed spots (teams like Calalang/Johnson, Lu/Mitrofanov, Feng/Nyman, etc.).
For SC, they'll have Moore-Towers/Marinaro for sure. Then likely Ilyushechkina/Bilodeau, if they think I/B will be ready for it. Third spot could be a 2nd spot for Walsh/Michaud, or a spot for a team like Ruest/Wolfe, Matte/Ferland or Brasseur/Bardei. This may be left TBD to see who gets non-guaranteed spots, and look at summer results.
For IdF, they'll have J/C and Hamon/Strekalin if they go senior. I'm not sure it there are any other teams who could get a spot.
For CoC, I put S/H and P/J there earlier. Then it could be Y/Z. But if Y/Z have two other events (comeback rule) or they go with B/K instead of P/J, we could see Tang/Yang or maybe Wang/Wang get the 3rd spot.
For CoR, I put T/M and B/K there. I'd guess they'll leave the third spot open for now, but I also think they might want the WJ champs there. If P/J end up at COR instead of B/K, then I think Mishina/Galiamov are there for sure. Otherwise it could be a 2nd spot for a team like Efimova/Korovin, or a first spot for a team like Kudriavsteva/Spiridonov or Poluianova/Sopot. I'm assuming Stolbova/Novoselov won't be competing since I haven't heard about him being released yet.
For NHK, they'll have Miura/Ichihashi if they're going senior, and I think that's it since Suzaki/Kihara split.
Host countries’ picks are the lone exception to the traditional champion’s right to pick their assignments, so Nathan cannot take NHK over Yuzuru unless Hanyu and the JSF agree.Tried to account for home countries, training locations, events already won and not having back-to-back competitions. I personally think that NHK would like to have Yuzuru there but I think that Nathan requested the last event in the 2018-19 season.