Predictions For Placings at the Grand Prix Events?

[andyjo24]

So who makes the final? On points aggregate, you have a 3 way tie for 6th place between Ashley Wagner, So Youn Park and Adelina Sotnikova...

Haha. Whoever gets the most points overall will go to GPF.

 

[b-man]

I think the GPF will have the same 4 Russians as last year (Julia, Adelina, Elena, Anna), Gracie and either Ashley or Polina in that final spot.

Agree.

 

[b-man]

I predict Miyahara's win. Not a real surprise though.

I doubt she will make the podium at NHK. She will not beat Gracie or Adelina, even with favorable home judging. Satoko, Kankako and Polina will fight for the bronze.

 

[NMURA]

I doubt she will make the podium at NHK. She will not beat Gracie or Adelina, even with favorable home judging. Satoko, Kankako and Polina will fight for the bronze.

My prediction is based on past results and patterns.

Sotnikova always bombs in Asia (more exactly outside of Europe).

Gold is usually a "disappointment" in Japan (2012WTT, 2013FC, 2013NHK, 2014WC). Only "good" one is the FS of 2013 WTT. NHK Trophy is kind of a jinx for US ladies. No one has ever won since 1979 (the first event). They won only 4 medals in past 20 years (2 silvers, 2 bronzes). I don't think she is strong enough to break the tradition.

Miyahara probably will land all jumps. The rest is up to the caller (and JSF politicking). She will be officially designated as the #1 Japanese lady at JO in October. It would be necessary to avoid mistreatment at notorious Skate Canada. The new rules on edges are very negative for Murakami (and positive for Miyahara). It is strategically reasonable to "push" Miyahara for the purpose of saving three spots at worlds. Her scores will be up 10 points compared to the last season. And in Osaka (home town), a little more bonus to be added. Estimate the total score of 195-198 points is the benchmark for rivals. I don't think anyone but "good Sotnikova" has the realistic chance against "Miyahara at Osaka". Even with some home advantages, beating the top US and Russian ladies can be a boost for her reputation.

Murakami usually skates well at the same competitions with Miyahara (especially in FS). I can guess that she must have strong senses of rivalry againt Miyahara. If she could do well in the SP, she also has a good chance for a medal. But 195 points could be beyond her present ability.

 

[Sandpiper]

My predictions for the men:

Skate America:
1. Machida
2. Brown
3. Abbott
(I'm predicting that Ten messes up in the GP series only to peak at Worlds. I'd love it if Artur got on the podium but I dunno if he'll have enough rep value yet).

Skate Canada
1. Fernandez
2. Aaron
3. Reynolds

Cup of China
1. Hanyu
2. Kovtun
3. Han Yan

Cup of Russia:
1. Fernandez
2. Gachinski
3. Aaron

TEB:
1. Machida
2. Kovtun
3. Ten

NHK:
1. Hanyu
2. Farris
3. Liebers

 

[Isabel_O'Reilly]

I thought of posting a thread like this to look back and see how accurate my guesses were but changed my mind a couple times. Looks like someone's reading my mind.

SA - Ladies (Do we know if Elizaveta is still going to compete?)

1) Elena
2) Gracie
3) Mirai

SC - Ladies

1) Anna P.
2) Ashley
3) Katelyn

COC - Ladies
1) Yulia
2) Polina
3) Kanako

Rostelecom - Ladies

1) Adelina
2) Anna P
3) Mirai

TEB - Ladies
1) Yulia
2) Elena
3) Ashley

NKH - Ladies

1) Polina
2) Adelina
3) Gracie

GPF - Ladies: Yulia, Elena, Adelina, Polina, Anna and Gracie

1) Yulia
2) Elena
3) Adelina
4) Polina
5) Anna
6) Gracie

 

[Skategmt]

SKATE AMERICA

LADIES
1.)Gold/Radionova
2.)Park/Gold/Radionova
3.)Park/Tukanysheva


ICE DANCE
1.)Shibutani/Shibutani or Chock/Bates
2.)Shibutani/Shibutani or Chock/Bates
3.)Reed/Reed or Cannuscio/McManus

SKATE CANADA

LADIES
1.)Wagner/Pogorilaya
2.)Wagner/Pogorilaya
3.)Osmond

ICE DANCE
1.)Weaver/Poje
2.)Hubbell/Donohue or Gilles/Poieier
3.)Hubbell/Donohue or Gilles/Poieier

CUP OF CHINA
LADIES
1.)Lipnitskaya
2.)Edmunds
3.)Murakami

ICE DANCE
1.)Shibutani/Shibutani or Cappellini/Lanotte
2.)Shibutani/Shibutani or Cappellini/Lanotte
3.)Ilinykh/Zhiganshin

ROSTELECOM CUP

LADIES
1.) Sotnikova
2.) Pogorlaya
3.) Park

ICE DANCE
1.)Ilinykh/Zhiganhin
2.)Chock/Bates
3.) Hawayek/Baker

TROPHEE BOMPARD

LADIES
1.)Lipnitskaia
2.)Radionova
3.)Wagner

ICE DANCE
1.)Cappellini/Lanotte or Bobrova/Soloviev
2.)Cappellini/Lanotte or Bobrova/Soloviev
3.)Hubbell/Donohue or Gillies/Poirier

NHK TROPHY

LADIES
1.)Gold
2.)Murakami
3.)Edmunds

ICE DANCE
1.)Weaver/Poje
2.)Hawayek/Baker
3.)Sonitsina/Katsalapov

Here are my predictions! Please let me know what you think about them!

 

[stryke]

CUP OF CHINA
LADIES
1.)Lipnitskaya
2.)Edmunds
3.)Murakami

NHK TROPHY

LADIES
1.)Gold
2.)Murakami
3.)Edmunds

Here are my predictions! Please let me know what you think about them!

What will give Edmunds the edge over Murakami in China? I'm still gonna dream of Polina getting gold in NHK

 

[Snow63]

SKATE AMERICA
ICE DANCE
1.)Shibutani/Shibutani or Chock/Bates
2.)Shibutani/Shibutani or Chock/Bates
3.)Reed/Reed or Cannuscio/McManus

SKATE CANADA
ICE DANCE
1.)Weaver/Poje
2.)Hubbell/Donohue or Gilles/Poieier
3.)Hubbell/Donohue or Gilles/Poieier

CUP OF CHINA
ICE DANCE
1.)Shibutani/Shibutani or Cappellini/Lanotte
2.)Shibutani/Shibutani or Cappellini/Lanotte
3.)Ilinykh/Zhiganshin

ROSTELECOM CUP
ICE DANCE
1.)Ilinykh/Zhiganhin
2.)Chock/Bates
3.) Hawayek/Baker

TROPHEE BOMPARD
ICE DANCE
1.)Cappellini/Lanotte or Bobrova/Soloviev
2.)Cappellini/Lanotte or Bobrova/Soloviev
3.)Hubbell/Donohue or Gillies/Poirier

NHK TROPHY
ICE DANCE
1.)Weaver/Poje
2.)Hawayek/Baker
3.)Sonitsina/Katsalapov

Here are my predictions! Please let me know what you think about them!

Your Ice Dance predictions are quite interesting. You have too much faith in US pairs, IMO. Especially Shibs and H/B.
And where is B/S at SA? Do you think they're gonna mess up again, or you just forgot them?

I agree C/B can 'win' SA though. Same as I/Z can 'win' Rostelecom cup Last is less possible tho.

 

[mirai4life]

Skate America
1. Elena Radionova
2. Gracie Gold
3. Elizaveta Tuktamysheva

Skate Canada
1. Anna Pogorilaya
2. Satoko Miyahara
3. Ashley Wagner

COC
1. Julia Lipnitskaia
2. Polina Edmunds
3. Kanako Murakami

Rostelecom
1. Anna Pogorilaya
2. Adelina Sotnikova
3. Mirai Nagasu

TEB
1. Julia Lipnitskaia
2. Elena Radionova
3. Ashley Wagner

NHK
1. Adelina Sotnikova
2. Polina Edmunds
3. Gracie Gold

damn, i have a Russian for #1 for all

 

[mirai4life]

What will give Edmunds the edge over Murakami in China? I'm still gonna dream of Polina getting gold in NHK

Why not? Polina is a much more consistent jumper and her Lz = clean

 

[Alba]

damn, i have a Russian for #1 for all

Indeed.
I don't think they will all win though. Someone is bound to make mistakes.

 

[stryke]

Why not? Polina is a much more consistent jumper and her Lz = clean

I asked because then the poster has Murakami above Edmunds at NHK.

 

[FSGMT]

About predictions: I would really like to have the predictions game again, too! And I can help with the scoring if needed

 

[NMURA]

Murakami has never scored higher than 170 points at GPS in past four years. Edmunds has a good chance in China.

 

[Skategmt]

I asked because then the poster has Murakami above Edmunds at NHK.

Honestly, I can see why your questioning me. I think that Murakami and Edmunds are similar on the ice and if one of them gets second, the other will get third. I'm just speculating Murakami will have some "home field" advantage" at NHK.

 

[Hyena]

I liked Skategmt's approach of listing a few possibilities for each. I'm putting the more likely (IMO) contender first. I'm only listing ladies but I already have predictions ready for men and dance

SKATE AMERICA
1. Gold/Radionova
2. Radionova/Gold
3. Nagasu/Tuktamysheva/Park

SKATE CANADA
1. Pogorilaya/Wagner
2. Wagner/Pogorilaya
3. Miyahara/Osmond

CUP OF CHINA
1. Lipnitskaya
2. Edmunds
3. Murakami

ROSTELECOM
1. Sotnikova
2. Pogorilaya
3. Nagasu/Park

TEB
1. Lipnitskaya
2. Radionova
3. Wagner

NHK
1. Sotnikova
2. Gold
3. Edmunds
**I could see Miyahara or Murakami getting onto the podium easily, if any of these three have a meltdown - which, as others have pointed out, is not unlikely.

 

[cheerknithanson]

It's going to be so interesting when we look back at the end of the NHK Trophy and see how close our predictions were.

 

[NMURA]

I don't have much interest in non-Japanese skaters (save Plushenko) though

SA
1 Gold (very close "win" as Czisny at 2011 SA, could be a cursed gold)
2 Radionova
3 Cesario

SC
1 Miyahara (a weak field, the only problem is the home cooking)
2 Pogorilaya
3 Wagner

CC
1 Lipnitskaya
2 Edmunds
3 Murakami (not bad performances for the first GP event)

RC
1 Sotnikova
2 Pogorilaya
3 Nagasu (wins a bronze at the second GP again)

TB
1 Lipnitskaya
2 Radionova
3 Wagner

NHK
1 Murakami (perfect without Flutz)
2 Miyahara (almost clean)
3 Gold (held up again over Edmunds)
(Sotnikova WD)

Murakami will take the similar path with Ando of four years ago, short of winning worlds.

 

[anyanka]

I think there can be if there is demand for it! (Also if we enough people scoring.)

Yes please!!