I think the exact same too. If everyone lay down their best, I'd have USA in 3,4 and 5 no questions. But I'm still wondering if they can reach something like a 77-78 SD and a 115 FD, because that will make their case. And since people are going to say, "it's in Russia, so we don't care..." not so much.
I honestly believe they can sneak in for top 5 again if others make mistakes but their SD just does them no favours. They have to rely on mistakes from everybody for both SD and FD to manage higher than that. And I just think neither of their programs come close to what C/B and H/D have. The Shibs just beat them hands down with their smooth as butter technique. Russia just needs to retrain the basics of their ice dancers, they're just not very smooth with few exceptions.