I think sasha could win if she lands the quad sal. Because the new layout adds 5 ish points to her skate canada BV, which is 171 already. She lost 4.85 points due to the fall on the sal, so that's 10 points right there. Plus the goe, maybe she can do it.
That’s presuming Alyona’s score doesn’t rise too, which I think is likely if she goes perfectly clean. I think it’s going to be extremely close if both are clean and Alyona might have just enough of a lead to pull off the win.